Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
KAB
2 - 1
RED
44%
29%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RED
3 - 0
RNF
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
LUR
1 - 1
RED
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
RED
0 - 0
ZAN
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
RED
3 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LUD
2 - 0
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 2
LUD
53%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
ZES
1 - 2
LUD
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
LUD
1 - 1
NKW
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
POW
1 - 1
LUD
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |