Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
RED
53%
27%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
ZAN
2 - 0
RED
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
RED
3 - 1
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RED
3 - 0
EAG
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ZES
3 - 2
RED
57%
26%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
LUD
2 - 1
KON
47%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LUD
3 - 0
NKA
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MUF
2 - 0
LUD
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LUD
1 - 0
LEO
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 2
LUD
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |