Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
RED
50%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RED
1 - 1
ZES
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
RED
3 - 2
NAT
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
KAB
3 - 1
RED
45%
30%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
POW
2 - 0
RED
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
KON
4 - 0
LUD
48%
28%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LUD
0 - 1
GRE
45%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NAT
1 - 2
LUD
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LUD
1 - 1
KAB
48%
28%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
ZES
2 - 0
LUD
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |