Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
RED
1 - 1
GRE
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
NAT
1 - 1
RED
49%
28%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
RED
2 - 2
KAB
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZES
2 - 0
RED
49%
29%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RED
2 - 0
POW
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
LUD
1 - 1
KON
46%
29%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
LUD
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LUD
1 - 1
NAT
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
KAB
3 - 0
LUD
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LUD
0 - 1
ZES
47%
29%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |