Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
NAT
0 - 1
RED
45%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
RED
5 - 0
LEO
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ROA
1 - 0
RED
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
RED
0 - 1
ZES
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
YAR
0 - 0
RED
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LUD
0 - 0
NCH
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
POW
1 - 0
LUD
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
KAB
1 - 1
LUD
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LUD
2 - 1
NAT
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LEO
1 - 0
LUD
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |