Red Arrows vs Lumwana Radiants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MUS
3 - 1
RED
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POW
0 - 0
RED
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
GRE
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
MUZ
58%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 1
RED
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LUR
2 - 1
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LUR
0 - 2
MUF
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NCH
4 - 0
LUR
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LUR
0 - 1
EAG
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NKA
0 - 0
LUR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |