Red Arrows vs Lumwana Radiants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
EAG
2 - 0
RED
45%
27%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
RED
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
RED
2 - 2
NAP
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
NKA
2 - 1
RED
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BFC
1 - 2
RED
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
LUR
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LUR
0 - 0
PRL
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
KIT
0 - 0
LUR
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
LUR
1 - 0
NAP
39%
29%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LUR
1 - 0
GRE
40%
29%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |