Red Arrows vs Lumwana Radiants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 2
RED
17%
29%
54%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RED
0 - 1
KAB
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
RED
1 - 2
BFC
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EAG
1 - 1
RED
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LUR
0 - 1
LUD
30%
30%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LUR
1 - 0
KAD
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MUF
0 - 1
LUR
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
LUR
0 - 1
GRE
32%
31%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 1
LUR
59%
25%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |