Red Arrows vs Lumwana Radiants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAT
0 - 3
RED
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RED
1 - 0
BFC
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
RED
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +13 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RED
2 - 0
LUD
42%
29%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EAG
0 - 0
RED
46%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LUR
2 - 0
KYS
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
LUR
66%
23%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUR
0 - 0
KAB
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +8 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NMS
2 - 0
LUR
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
LUR
0 - 0
ZES
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |