Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
GRE
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 0
RED
57%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 1
ROA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KON
1 - 0
RED
48%
29%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RED
3 - 0
KAL
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
NKW
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
FOR
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
ZAN
43%
29%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
KAB
44%
30%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |