Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NKA
1 - 1
RED
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
POW
1 - 0
RED
48%
29%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RED
0 - 0
KAB
52%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
RED
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RED
1 - 2
ZES
52%
27%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
LUD
46%
29%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LUD
1 - 0
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
YAR
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
POW
2 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
KAB
47%
29%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |