Red Arrows vs Forest Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
RED
2 - 3
ZAN
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NCH
1 - 0
RED
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
RED
3 - 4
POW
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LEO
3 - 1
RED
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
RED
1 - 6
ENY
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -12 |
Matches
Forest Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
NCH
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
POW
0 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
LEO
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 1
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |