Recas vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
REC
1 - 2
MEN
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CFA
3 - 0
REC
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
REC
1 - 0
CON
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 1
REC
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CBA
1 - 1
REC
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAG
1 - 2
ESQ
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MEN
3 - 2
SAG
47%
22%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAG
0 - 1
AAL
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CFA
2 - 0
SAG
48%
22%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
DIN
3 - 0
SAG
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |