Recas vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 4
REC
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REC
1 - 0
ESQ
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
REC
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
REC
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REC
3 - 0
RVS
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAG
3 - 0
ESQ
48%
23%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
SAG
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAG
4 - 1
MEN
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAG
1 - 0
CBA
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CON
3 - 2
SAG
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |