Recas vs Guadamur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VSA
1 - 0
REC
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
FUE
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
ARG
21%
21%
58%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
REC
1 - 2
CBA
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
REC
73%
18%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FUE
3 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 6
ARG
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
4 - 1
GUA
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 7
CDE
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 6
FUE
12%
19%
70%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |