Recas vs Gerindote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAG
1 - 2
REC
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REC
2 - 1
PUE
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ORG
2 - 2
REC
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
REC
8 - 2
TOR
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RVS
1 - 1
REC
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gerindote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GER
0 - 2
CAM
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FUE
1 - 3
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GER
0 - 0
VAL
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 4
GER
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GER
3 - 0
COL
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |