Recas vs Ayto Navalcan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CON
3 - 2
REC
61%
21%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
REC
0 - 1
MEN
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
REC
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
REC
2 - 3
AZU
19%
24%
58%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JDO
1 - 1
REC
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ayto Navalcan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AYT
1 - 1
ECG
71%
16%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
AYT
22%
20%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 4
AYT
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AYT
4 - 0
TAL
50%
20%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 3
AYT
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |