Recanatese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
REC
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REC
0 - 0
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JES
0 - 1
REC
39%
27%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FVE
2 - 3
REC
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REC
2 - 0
AMI
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
JES
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FVE
1 - 1
SSS
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 0
AMI
83%
13%
5%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GIU
0 - 1
SSS
7%
16%
76%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
ISE
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |