Recanatese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
REC
2 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
REC
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REC
2 - 3
AMI
55%
23%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
REC
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
REC
2 - 2
CIV
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 1
MAC
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
SSS
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 4
CHI
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 2
SSS
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 3
VIS
82%
13%
6%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |