Recanatese vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UST
3 - 1
REC
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
REC
3 - 2
CHI
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 0
REC
20%
24%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REC
3 - 2
GIU
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
REC
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
MON
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAT
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |