Recanatese vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
REC
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
REC
3 - 0
OLY
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CES
0 - 1
REC
84%
13%
4%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
REC
1 - 0
GIU
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
REC
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAT
23%
27%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 0
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 1
SAM
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |