Recanatese vs Morro d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
REC
64%
20%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
REC
2 - 0
UST
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 0
REC
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
OLY
1 - 1
REC
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
REC
0 - 0
EPD
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morro d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
MDC
50%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MDC
3 - 4
CAM
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
OLY
1 - 0
MDC
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MDC
1 - 0
GRC
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FAN
1 - 1
MDC
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |