Recanatese vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
REC
4 - 2
OLY
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JES
0 - 1
REC
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
REC
2 - 3
MON
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MAT
4 - 0
REC
66%
20%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
REC
2 - 0
PIN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
MAT
22%
26%
52%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
OLY
0 - 1
MON
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
REC
2 - 3
MON
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 3
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
OLY
46%
23%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |