Recanatese vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
REC
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
REC
2 - 0
PIN
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 0
REC
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
ISE
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
REC
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MAT
22%
22%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
AVE
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |