Recanatese vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 0
REC
68%
20%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
REC
1 - 4
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
REC
2 - 1
LAQ
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
REC
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
REC
5 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAM
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LAQ
2 - 1
MAT
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 2
FRA
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAT
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FAB
90%
8%
3%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |