Recanatese vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
18%
23%
60%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
REC
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
REC
2 - 0
ASD
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
MAT
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAT
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 3
MAT
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |