Recanatese vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 0
REC
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
REC
1 - 0
CSL
41%
26%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
REC
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
REC
1 - 0
SRM
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 3
REC
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LAQ
1 - 2
RCA
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
LAQ
1 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 1
LAQ
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LAQ
0 - 0
LUC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CSL
2 - 2
LAQ
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |