Recanatese vs Isernia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
8º
17º
13º
34
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
34 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VSU
0 - 0
REC
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
REC
0 - 3
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 0
REC
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
REC
2 - 0
BFM
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 2
REC
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 0
ASD
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 1
ISE
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 4
SSS
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SOR
3 - 4
ISE
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
2 - 1
TER
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +4 |