Recanatese vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
REC
1 - 0
SAM
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JES
2 - 0
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JES
1 - 1
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AVE
5 - 3
REC
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
VIS
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ALF
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
MAT
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
COR
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |