Recanatese vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
PIN
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
MAT
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
REC
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
REC
1 - 4
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REC
3 - 2
GIU
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 3
UST
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GIU
2 - 0
UST
14%
20%
67%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
RIE
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
UST
4 - 0
SEL
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UST
4 - 0
CAM
22%
25%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +5 |