Rebordosa vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
3º
39
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 2
REB
61%
20%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
MAC
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
REB
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REB
2 - 0
CAS
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +4 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 3
REB
85%
11%
5%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALP
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
VAL
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
VAL
80%
15%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 2
VAL
24%
26%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |