Realejos vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
GUI
2 - 0
REA
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
REA
5 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
CDT
1 - 1
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
REA
6 - 4
CDS
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
REA
3 - 0
SPO
65%
20%
14%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
LAN
2 - 0
SDT
46%
26%
29%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
LAN
2 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
GUI
4 - 1
LAN
71%
19%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
LAN
2 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CDT
0 - 2
LAN
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |