Realejos vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
REA
1 - 1
VSB
34%
27%
39%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
GAL
0 - 1
REA
60%
21%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
REA
0 - 0
TEL
53%
26%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
5 - 2
REA
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
REA
1 - 1
CAS
30%
27%
43%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
UDI
2 - 1
CDO
31%
27%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VSB
5 - 3
UDI
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 2
TEG
43%
26%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
GAL
2 - 0
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |