Realejos vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
COR
5 - 1
REA
64%
21%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
REA
1 - 2
VEC
39%
29%
32%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MAS
0 - 3
REA
26%
26%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
REA
5 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
CDT
1 - 1
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 2
CDO
39%
27%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
UDI
1 - 1
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
CDT
2 - 2
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 1
GAL
26%
28%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
VSB
2 - 1
UDI
49%
24%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |