Real Zaragoza vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
94%
5%
1%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 0
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GET
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 3
ATH
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
MLL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
RAY
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
SEV
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
RAY
4 - 3
RAC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |