Real Zaragoza vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZAR
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CCF
0 - 2
ZAR
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
LEG
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
ZAR
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 2
MIR
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
LEG
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 4
MIR
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 0
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 2
OVI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |