Real Zaragoza vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MLL
3 - 2
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 2
SMR
69%
20%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALA
4 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAB
0 - 0
ZAR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 1
ZAR
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCB
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 2
LUG
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
REC
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 0
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
UDL
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |