Real Zaragoza vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
ZAR
4 - 1
VCF
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
ESP
0 - 0
ZAR
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
FCB
3 - 1
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
ZAR
1 - 2
BET
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
OVI
1 - 1
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 3
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 1
NEC
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
17%
22%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |