Real Zaragoza vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEV
4 - 2
ZAR
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 2
VAD
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
HUE
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 3
ZAR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UCA
70%
21%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIM
42%
30%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
GET
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 1
RAY
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 0
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |