Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Deportivo Aragón vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
ZAR
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MLL
2 - 0
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 0
MLL
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZAR
4 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZAR
13%
21%
66%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
ZAR
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 2
CHO
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CDB
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHO
4 - 0
BOU
45%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |