Real Zamora vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
3 - 0
ZAM
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 4
PUM
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
AME
1 - 4
ZAM
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 0
IPC
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IRA
3 - 0
ZAM
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
COC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
YFC
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REB
0 - 1
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 4
CDT
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |