Real Zamora vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
IPC
3 - 0
ZAM
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CAZ
3 - 0
ZAM
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 0
JAG
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 2
ZAM
21%
25%
55%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 0
PDC
26%
25%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 1
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 2
JAS
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
56%
22%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |