Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Real Valladolid Promesas vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAB
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAÑ
2 - 3
VAL
19%
23%
59%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
VAL
4 - 0
CEB
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 2
VAL
21%
24%
56%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
5 - 1
LER
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SOM
4 - 2
NEG
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
SOM
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
SOM
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SOM
4 - 0
BOU
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |