Real Unión Club vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ARE
1 - 1
RUN
51%
25%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
RUN
3 - 0
ORT
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AFT
0 - 1
RUN
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
RUN
3 - 0
ELG
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
POR
1 - 2
RUN
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
GER
3 - 1
HER
62%
23%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SFC
2 - 2
GER
50%
28%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
GER
1 - 1
SDE
39%
27%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
MUT
3 - 2
GER
34%
30%
36%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
GER
1 - 0
EIB
27%
31%
42%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +3 |