Real Succes vs Zimbru II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
UNG
1 - 0
REA
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
REA
1 - 3
FCS
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FCD
1 - 2
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
REA
2 - 1
FCE
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 0
REA
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
ZIM
4 - 0
PRU
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
ZIM
23%
28%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ISK
4 - 2
ZIM
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZIM
2 - 2
UNG
47%
23%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 0
ZIM
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |