Real Succes vs FC Sheriff II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 0
REA
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAX
4 - 1
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
REA
0 - 1
DIN
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TIG
4 - 5
REA
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
INT
1 - 1
REA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sheriff II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 1
FSG
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
INT
2 - 2
FCS
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 1
OLM
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 0
PET
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 0
FCD
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |