Real Succes vs FC Sheriff II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
REA
4 - 2
LOC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 5
REA
41%
25%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
REA
4 - 1
GAG
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MOL
0 - 1
REA
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sheriff II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
FCS
2 - 0
LOC
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MIP
0 - 2
FCS
23%
24%
52%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 1
TIG
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 0
ZIM
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
FSG
3 - 1
FCS
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |