Real Succes vs Olimp Comrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
48.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
10º
11º
11º
17
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 1 |
12º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
GDC
0 - 3
REA
7%
11%
82%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
REA
75%
15%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
REA
0 - 3
FST
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SPA
7 - 1
REA
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
0 - 1
REA
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Olimp Comrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
PRU
0 - 0
FCO
27%
21%
52%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 1
SAX
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
FCO
48%
22%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FCO
0 - 1
REA
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCO
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |