Real Succes vs Olimp Comrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
8º
11º
11º
8
9º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
REA
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CLF
4 - 0
REA
56%
21%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
REA
1 - 3
FCV
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
FST
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAH
0 - 3
REA
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Olimp Comrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
FCS
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 4
FCO
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCV
29%
24%
48%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
FCD
3 - 0
FCO
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
FCO
2 - 0
FCS
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |