Real Succes vs Cahul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FCO
4 - 2
REA
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
REA
0 - 3
SPA
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 0
REA
78%
14%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
REA
1 - 8
FCO
27%
20%
53%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 2
FCS
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cahul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CAH
0 - 3
FCS
25%
26%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
CAH
31%
24%
46%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAH
0 - 1
FCV
42%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 4
CAH
7%
13%
80%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ISK
3 - 1
CAH
30%
23%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |